# Essays Source: https://dinand.com/essays/ Author: Dinand Tinholt > Longer thinking about AI and the people who have to live with it. History gets pulled in whenever it helps. Ideas across time · Essays # Essays Longer thinking about AI and the people who have to live with it. History gets pulled in whenever it helps. The essay archive ## 104 essays, 6 questions Every published perspective, shelved by the question it works on. Swipe or scroll along a shelf; newest first. Essay · Oct 20, 2026 ### [Engineering the Synthetic Organization](https://dinand.com/essays/engineering-the-synthetic-organization/) Thirteen disciplines of AI engineering in four layers, all reporting to one control plane, and the five trust disciplines that decide whether an agent can be left alone. [Read the essay ](https://dinand.com/essays/engineering-the-synthetic-organization/) Oct 21, 2026dinand.com ### [Power, with poise](https://dinand.com/publications/power-with-poise/) A second Maison Agent experiment presents the AI control plane as a fragrance ad, with one gold ring gathering black ribbons and a single sentence beneath it. Oct 20, 2026Medium + LinkedIn ### [Engineering the Synthetic Organization](https://dinand.com/essays/engineering-the-synthetic-organization/) Thirteen disciplines of AI engineering in four layers, all reporting to one control plane, and the five trust disciplines that decide whether an agent can be left alone. Sep 20, 2026dinand.com ### [From dashboards to decisions](https://dinand.com/publications/from-dashboards-to-decisions/) A working paper on bringing business context into an agentic decision workflow. Aug 9, 2026Medium ↗ ### [AI Agents May Have a Reason to Trust Each Other](https://medium.com/@tinholt/ai-agents-may-have-a-reason-to-trust-each-other-3ba117adc87a) On a paper led by Alexander Meulemans: why foundation-model agents may cooperate in a one-shot Prisoner’s Dilemma, and what that means for large populations of agents. Apr 29, 2026Capgemini ### [Move 37: How Agentic AI Turns Back-Office Drudgery into Bold Process Breakthroughs](https://dinand.com/publications/move-37/) Why the larger opportunity in agentic AI is not polishing an inherited workflow, but questioning whether the workflow should exist in its current form. Feb 17, 2026Medium ↗ ### [Why Industry Is the Only Thing That Separates AI Theater from AI Transformation](https://medium.com/@tinholt/why-industry-is-the-only-thing-that-separates-ai-theater-from-ai-transformation-b1602bff12c5) I’ll save you the conference ticket and the keynote. Jan 7, 2026Medium ↗ ### [The Right Tool for Each Step](https://medium.com/@tinholt/the-right-tool-for-each-step-fb444a35222e) When your primary tool is a large language model, every business process starts looking like a conversation to generate. Jan 6, 2026Medium ↗ ### [Agentic AI Needs Cognitive Goals](https://medium.com/@tinholt/agentic-ai-needs-cognitive-goals-021ea96bc787) Aug 28, 2025Medium ↗ ### [Agentic AI: Autonomy Begins in the Unexpected](https://medium.com/@tinholt/agentic-ai-autonomy-begins-in-the-unexpected-380af42e2709) I was listening to a presentation from my colleague Andreas Sjostrom this morning and a statement he made that stuck with me is that… Aug 25, 2025Medium ↗ ### [Stop Waving Around ‘95% of GenAI Pilots Fail.’ It’s Not the Whole Story.](https://medium.com/@tinholt/stop-waving-around-95-of-genai-pilots-fail-its-not-the-whole-story-dded82cad366) The MIT ‘State of AI in Business 2025’ report has been making waves with the headline that 95% of GenAI pilots fail. Aug 10, 2025Medium + LinkedIn ↗ ### [From Language Models to World Models: Building the AI Operating Layer for Business](https://medium.com/@tinholt/from-language-models-to-world-models-building-the-ai-operating-layer-for-business-c09e9be33236) Everyone is staring at the same leaderboard again. GPT-5 here, a new benchmark there, another round of debates about who is ahead in model scale. The conversation is familiar and comfortable. Aug 1, 2025Medium + LinkedIn ↗ ### [The Great Untangling: Why Business Leaders Must Move From Agentic Mush to an Agentic Mesh](https://medium.com/@tinholt/the-great-untangling-why-business-leaders-must-move-from-agentic-mush-to-an-agentic-mesh-692602f95a86) Across boardrooms and executive strategy sessions, one phrase keeps surfacing: “We need to do something with Agentic AI.” So the sprint begins. Teams deploy chatbots. Product leads automate decisions. Jul 25, 2025Medium + LinkedIn ↗ ### [You Don’t Have an Agent Problem. You Have an Observability Problem.](https://medium.com/@tinholt/you-dont-have-an-agent-problem-you-have-an-observability-problem-2d2b2d2e42cc) Agentic AI is becoming the next big promise in enterprise automation. These systems go beyond answering questions. They take actions, chain tasks, call APIs, interact with memory, and adapt over time. They are not static copilots. Jul 14, 2025Medium + LinkedIn ↗ ### [From Centaur to Enterprise: How AI is Learning to Think Like Us (and What That Means for Business)](https://medium.com/@tinholt/from-centaur-to-enterprise-how-ai-is-learning-to-think-like-us-and-what-that-means-for-business-86113c4378cf) In the TV series Westworld, a system called Rehoboam shaped the future by predicting human behavior with near-perfect accuracy. Fiction, of course—until it isn’t. Jun 28, 2025LinkedIn ↗ ### [You Can’t Automate Dysfunction](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/you-cant-automate-dysfunction-dinand-tinholt-ys6yc) The agentic AI hype machine is running full speed. Everywhere I look, someone is wiring an LLM into a brittle business process and expecting magic. Startups are doing it. Enterprises are doing it. Everyone is nodding along. Jun 27, 2025LinkedIn ↗ ### [The Real Failure Isn’t Agentic AI — It’s Corporate Imagination](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/real-failure-isnt-agentic-ai-its-corporate-dinand-tinholt-s7e5c) From the moment Gartner’s June 25 report landed, proclaiming that over 40 percent of agentic AI initiatives will be abandoned by 2027, journalists seized on the alarm: “rising costs,” “unclear business value,” and worries about… Jun 2, 2025LinkedIn ### [The AI Capability Overhang: Why the Most Powerful Technology Isn't Working (yet)](https://dinand.com/publications/ai-capability-overhang/) Why organizations need to develop the operating capacity to use the AI capabilities already available. May 27, 2025LinkedIn ↗ ### [The Real AI Race Is Happening in Your Business](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/real-ai-race-happening-your-business-dinand-tinholt-5wv4c) While superpowers debate the future of intelligence, smart companies are deploying it… May 22, 2025LinkedIn ↗ ### [Enterprise Models: The Rise of the Thinking Organization](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/enterprise-models-rise-thinking-dinand-tinholt-7evdc) This spring, a new artificial intelligence model quietly edged out some of the world’s best climate prediction systems. May 16, 2025LinkedIn ↗ ### [When Companies Begin to Think as Cognitive Enterprises](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/when-companies-begin-think-cognitive-enterprises-dinand-tinholt-q0wac) In late winter, a global logistics firm noticed something odd in its real-time dashboards. May 13, 2025LinkedIn ↗ ### [AI Agents on Autopilot: A Business Wake-Up Call](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/ai-agents-autopilot-business-wake-up-call-dinand-tinholt-jwgpc) For years, artificial intelligence has quietly shadowed the world of work. It assisted, suggested, and supported — playing the role of co-pilot. But something is changing. May 7, 2025LinkedIn ↗ ### [Why Tariffs Are a Data & AI Problem—And How Capgemini Is Solving It](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/why-tariffs-data-ai-problemand-how-capgemini-solving-dinand-tinholt-cnysc) In a year where AI seems to be injected into every boardroom conversation, one of the most impactful applications is happening at the border. Apr 29, 2025LinkedIn ↗ ### [Beyond Generative: The Rise of the Simulated, Self-Learning Enterprise](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/beyond-generative-rise-simulated-self-learning-dinand-tinholt-zvcdf) We are entering a profound shift — one that goes far beyond new technology. Generative AI lit the first spark, but what comes next will redefine how we understand intelligence itself. Apr 22, 2025LinkedIn ↗ ### [From Prediction to Purpose: The Era of Experiential Intelligence](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/from-prediction-purpose-era-experiential-intelligence-dinand-tinholt-hl11c) How World Models and Reinforcement Learning Are Reshaping Business… Apr 20, 2025LinkedIn ↗ ### [The Rise of the Self-Reflexive Enterprise: Why the Next Wave of AI Isn’t About Doing More — But About Seeing Better](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/rise-self-reflexive-enterprise-why-next-wave-ai-isnt-doing-tinholt-wgk8c) On an average everyday morning, a thousand things are happening inside a multinational company. A frustrated engineer is rewriting the same process that’s already been documented elsewhere. Apr 4, 2025LinkedIn ↗ ### [A New Solution for Trade Wars: How Enterprises Can Regain Control with Strategic AI](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/new-solution-trade-wars-how-enterprises-can-regain-control-tinholt-fpljc) As global trade becomes increasingly unpredictable, executives are finding themselves caught in a crossfire of shifting tariffs, regional restrictions, and disrupted supply chains. Mar 16, 2025LinkedIn ↗ ### [Antifragile — The Algorithm That Ate Uncertainty: How AI is Reinventing Supply Chain Resilience](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/antifragile-algorithm-ate-uncertainty-how-ai-supply-chain-tinholt-ydfhc) In March 2021, as the Ever Given — a container ship longer than the Empire State Building is tall — lodged itself into the banks of the Suez Canal, a chilling realization rippled through global markets: modern supply chains are… Sep 20, 2026dinand.com ### [Self-healing master data](https://dinand.com/publications/self-healing-master-data/) An executive brief on finding, proposing and verifying supply-chain data repairs. Dec 30, 2025Medium ↗ ### [Why Your AI Sounds Smart but Learns Nothing](https://medium.com/@tinholt/why-your-ai-sounds-smart-but-learns-nothing-20a33aeffb37) People keep saying AI is getting smarter. Most of the time what they really mean is that it sounds better. It talks more smoothly. Dec 17, 2025Medium ### [How to Make AI Agents Accurate: Stop Treating Memory Like Chat History](https://dinand.com/publications/agent-memory-and-state/) A practical approach to keeping an agent’s constraints and current decisions clear during long sessions. Oct 12, 2025Medium ### [The Next Frontier of Agentic AI: Context That Learns](https://dinand.com/publications/context-that-learns/) How feedback from an agent’s work can inform the context it uses on the next task. Sep 19, 2025Medium ↗ ### [Stop focusing only on prompts.](https://medium.com/@tinholt/-39cbbb81c26c) Stop focusing only on prompts. Start engineering context. Aug 14, 2025Medium + LinkedIn ↗ ### [Turning Data Exhaust into Business Intelligence: The Hidden Value in Your Enterprise Operations](https://medium.com/@tinholt/turning-data-exhaust-into-business-intelligence-the-hidden-value-in-your-enterprise-operations-e55356df99ca) In the landscape of enterprise AI, we often get caught up in the sheer volume of data. But the real secret isn’t just having mountains of information. It’s learning to recognize the patterns that live within it. Aug 2, 2025Medium ↗ ### [If your AI strategy still starts with a dashboard](https://medium.com/@tinholt/-ac5303feb062) Jul 21, 2025Medium + LinkedIn ↗ ### [The Myth of the Single Source of Truth](https://medium.com/@tinholt/the-myth-of-the-single-source-of-truth-1ad4d8625215) Companies have spent years chasing a single source of truth. The idea is simple. One clean, standardized, central repository. Everyone uses the same data to make better decisions. Jun 26, 2025LinkedIn ↗ ### [Context Engineering Will Decide the Winners in AI](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/context-engineering-decide-winners-ai-dinand-tinholt-dfame) The conversation around AI inside most companies is still stuck on prompt engineering — crafting clever questions to get clever answers. But the real work of building effective AI systems isn’t about witty phrasing. Nov 1, 2024LinkedIn ### [From Chaos to Managed Complexity: Adopting an Ecosystem Mindset in Data & Analytics](https://dinand.com/publications/from-chaos-to-managed-complexity/) A case for treating modern data environments as evolving ecosystems rather than trying to force every source and decision into one rigid center. Aug 28, 2024LinkedIn ↗ ### [Decentralized Data Governance and Data Virtualization: Revolutionizing the Speed of Analytics](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/decentralized-data-governance-virtualization-speed-dinand-tinholt-x8d8c) In the ever-evolving landscape of digital innovation, a quiet transformation is underway, one that could significantly alter the way businesses and organizations handle their most valuable asset: data. May 15, 2023LinkedIn ↗ ### [Everyone's invited to the data party](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/everyones-invited-data-party-dinand-tinholt) The world of data has long been confined to the dominion of data scientists, data engineers and IT experts, nestled snugly in their ivory towers of coding prowess and analytical acumen. Jan 21, 2022LinkedIn ### [Creating a data-powered culture](https://dinand.com/publications/creating-a-data-powered-culture/) A durable starting point for making data part of everyday decisions: connect technology, shared habits and organizational confidence. Sep 27, 2026LinkedIn ↗ ### [Jev is a new model from TypeSafe AI that helps software make small, specific decisions.](https://www.linkedin.com/posts/tinholt_jev-is-a-new-model-from-typesafe-ai-that-share-7510004413076250624-2pCZ/) Pre-announcement: the benchmark, code and pilot guide follow once the results are verified. Aug 6, 2026Medium ↗ ### [Nobody Slows Down First](https://medium.com/@tinholt/nobody-slows-down-first-2edd34ecaf97) Six days apart, the same industry asked Washington to keep AI capability spreading and to build the machinery for holding it back. Jul 30, 2026Medium ↗ ### [The Weights Got Free. The Grip Moved.](https://medium.com/@tinholt/the-weights-got-free-the-grip-moved-fadf3d80fb4e) Kimi K3 put 2.8 trillion parameters on a public server. Reading that as decentralization gets the economics backwards. May 13, 2026Medium ↗ ### [The Vertical AI Playbook Is Here, And Legal Is Just The Latest Move](https://medium.com/@tinholt/the-vertical-ai-playbook-is-here-and-legal-is-just-the-latest-move-65b71e4a7f5f) A week before Anthropic announced Claude for Legal, it announced Claude for Financial Services. May 10, 2026Medium ↗ ### [Three bets on where the agent lives](https://medium.com/@tinholt/three-bets-on-where-the-agent-lives-4c6f1c906383) In a single quarter, three of the most important enterprise software vendors placed three competing claims on the agent… Apr 11, 2026Medium ↗ ### [The AI Infrastructure Layer: Why Runtime Ownership Matters More Than Model Choice](https://medium.com/@tinholt/the-ai-infrastructure-layer-why-runtime-ownership-matters-more-than-model-choice-1edf8e097603) Enterprise technology teams are debating which AI model to use. GPT or Claude? Gemini or a fine-tuned open source model? Mar 25, 2026Medium ↗ ### [Twenty-one releases in under three months.](https://medium.com/@tinholt/twenty-one-releases-in-under-three-months-7de36a1a1cd0) Since January 2026, Anthropic has shipped two new foundation models (Opus 4.6 and Sonnet 4.6), and nineteen distinct product launches… Feb 7, 2026Medium ↗ ### [Agent Swarms Are Here](https://medium.com/@tinholt/agent-swarms-are-here-4cea3c59d7fb) Three major model drops in ten days. Moonshot AI shipped Kimi K2.5 on January 27th with a built-in agent swarm. Feb 5, 2026Medium ↗ ### [What Anthropic’s AI Advertising Stand and Legal Plugin Reveal About the Future of Enterprise AI](https://medium.com/@tinholt/what-anthropics-ai-advertising-stand-and-legal-plugin-reveal-about-the-future-of-enterprise-ai-1e97d8a1eb85) Over the past few days, significant attention has been directed toward Anthropic’s latest announcements, including the release of a… Dec 30, 2025Medium ↗ ### [From Games to World Models: Why 2026 Will Be the Year AI Learns to Act](https://medium.com/@tinholt/from-games-to-world-models-why-2026-will-be-the-year-ai-learns-to-act-172378528219) For the past two years, most leaders have experienced AI as a word machine: reading, writing, summarizing, and explaining. Nov 17, 2025Medium ↗ ### [From Language Models to World Models and Why the Conversation Just Got Real](https://medium.com/@tinholt/from-language-models-to-world-models-and-why-the-conversation-just-got-real-3ebab3fd5aca) A few months ago I wrote a piece titled From Language Models to World Models: Building the AI Operating Layer for Business. Nov 11, 2025Medium ↗ ### [Kimi K2 and the Quiet Shift in Enterprise AI](https://medium.com/@tinholt/kimi-k2-and-the-quiet-shift-in-enterprise-ai-a6d143bd45a0) Kimi K2 may turn out to be one of those quiet turning points that only later becomes obvious. Sep 17, 2025Medium ↗ ### [The Next AI Race: Why Smart Beats Big](https://medium.com/@tinholt/-7645a9ca5d4e) The GPU arms race is ending. The efficiency war has begun. Sep 3, 2025Medium + LinkedIn ### [GPT-5’s Multimodal Breakthrough: How AI Just Crossed the Expert Threshold in Business Reasoning](https://dinand.com/publications/multimodal-business-reasoning/) A business perspective on research combining visual information with complex written evidence. Sep 1, 2025Medium ↗ ### [The Future of AI Isn’t Bigger Models, It’s Smaller](https://medium.com/@tinholt/-b0d9b186767a) The center of gravity in AI is shifting from brute force generality to right-sized intelligence. Aug 8, 2025Medium ↗ ### [A New Chapter in Enterprise Intelligence: What GPT-5 Signals for Business](https://medium.com/@tinholt/a-new-chapter-in-enterprise-intelligence-what-gpt-5-signals-for-business-8e3ce41f2694) Aug 4, 2025Medium + LinkedIn ↗ ### [Are We Cracking the Code of AGI? A Tiny Brain-Inspired AI Just Made a Big Statement](https://medium.com/@tinholt/are-we-cracking-the-code-of-agi-a-tiny-brain-inspired-ai-just-made-a-big-statement-014104535b82) There’s something happening in AI research that deserves the full attention of business leaders. May 5, 2025LinkedIn ↗ ### [What the AI Model Market Quietly Reveals About How to Build with It](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/what-ai-model-market-quietly-reveals-how-build-dinand-tinholt-cbqvc) The conversation around AI models often focuses on performance. Speed. Accuracy. Cost. And while those factors matter, they don’t explain the full picture of how businesses are actually using large language models. Apr 16, 2025LinkedIn ↗ ### [The New Competitive Edge: Open-Weight AI Models and Their Impact on Businesses](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/new-competitive-edge-open-weight-ai-models-impact-dinand-tinholt-pa8xc) The AI landscape is undergoing a seismic shift. In just the past month, OpenAI and other major players have signaled a new era—one where the power and potential of open-weight large language models (LLMs) are reshaping the… Mar 19, 2025LinkedIn ↗ ### [The Rise of Small Giants: How Tiny AI Models and Massive Chips Are Reshaping Business](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/rise-small-giants-how-tiny-ai-models-massive-chips-business-tinholt-oxysc) The story of artificial intelligence has long been about scale—bigger models, more parameters, and an insatiable demand for computing power. Dec 5, 2024LinkedIn ↗ ### [OpenAI's ChatGPT Pro: Revolutionizing Business or Just Hype?](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/openais-chatgpt-pro-revolutionizing-business-just-hype-dinand-tinholt-yagvc) OpenAI has launched ChatGPT Pro, a $200 per month enterprise-grade AI service. This move raises questions about the future of work, the accessibility of advanced AI, and OpenAI's strategic direction. Jun 10, 2026Medium ↗ ### [The Most Powerful AI Ever Released Is Probably Being Wasted Right Now](https://medium.com/@tinholt/the-most-powerful-ai-ever-released-is-probably-being-wasted-right-now-67eb38b2ad53) There is an old Greek storyteller named Aesop (you may remember the tortoise and the hare) whose genius had nothing to do with animals. Mar 29, 2026Medium ↗ ### [The Compounding Gap](https://medium.com/@tinholt/the-compounding-gap-295f2dc6cf08) Mar 4, 2026Medium ↗ ### [Two Reports, One Question: What Does AI Actually Mean for Your Future?](https://medium.com/@tinholt/two-reports-one-question-what-does-ai-actually-mean-for-your-future-9689d6bceec6) In the span of a few days in late February 2026, two documents landed in the financial and technology discourse with sharply… Feb 27, 2026Medium ↗ ### [10x the Impact of the Industrial Revolution, and We’re Just Getting Started](https://medium.com/@tinholt/10x-the-impact-of-the-industrial-revolution-and-were-just-getting-started-08e90b8e3659) A year ago, a task that took a full year now takes three days. Dec 21, 2025Medium ↗ ### [The Blueprint Is Showing](https://medium.com/@tinholt/the-blueprint-is-showing-b6b3ec4945b5) Dec 16, 2025Medium ↗ ### [We’ve been talking about major productivity gains from AI agents.](https://medium.com/@tinholt/weve-been-talking-about-major-productivity-gains-from-ai-agents-796b2bd5a18c) Their internal study of 132 engineers reveals something we need to start accounting for in our business cases: 27% of AI-assisted… Dec 2, 2025Medium ↗ ### [The AI Iceberg Isn’t What You Think, and That’s Exactly](https://medium.com/@tinholt/-d261ec1dc65d) Nov 22, 2025Medium ↗ ### [The Great Disconnect: Why the AI Revolution Is Missing from Economic Data](https://medium.com/@tinholt/the-great-disconnect-why-the-ai-revolution-is-missing-from-economic-data-31187ee30377) Nov 10, 2025Medium ↗ ### [Inside the Carnegie Mellon and Stanford Study: How AI Agents Work 88% Faster but Still Need Humans](https://medium.com/@tinholt/inside-the-carnegie-mellon-and-stanford-study-how-ai-agents-work-88-faster-but-still-need-humans-e1b5cecb470b) For years, the conversation in boardrooms and tech conferences has revolved around the same big question: will AI replace human workers? Sep 25, 2025Medium ↗ ### [AI genius on demand?](https://medium.com/@tinholt/ai-genius-on-demand-f5d0125bf291) I just read the paper ‘Genius on Demand: The Value of Transformative Artificial Intelligence’. Apr 26, 2025LinkedIn ↗ ### [Rethinking Intelligence: Thriving in a World Where AI Outgrows Us](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/rethinking-intelligence-thriving-world-where-ai-outgrows-tinholt-o5hic) In a recent conversation that captured the attention of the technology world, Eric Schmidt, the former CEO of Google, shared a stark prediction: within the next year, the majority of programmers could be replaced by AI. Apr 8, 2025LinkedIn ↗ ### [The Accelerating Reality of Artificial General Intelligence: Strategic Imperatives for Business Leaders](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/accelerating-reality-artificial-general-intelligence-business-dinand-8bmgc) Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), once confined to theoretical discussions and science fiction, is rapidly approaching practical realization. Mar 31, 2025LinkedIn ↗ ### [AI Doesn’t Want Your Job. It Wants Your Judgment.](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/ai-doesnt-want-your-job-wants-judgment-dinand-tinholt-jgmic) When earlier this week Bill Gates predicted that artificial intelligence would replace doctors and teachers within the next decade, it sounded hyperbolic—like a headline designed to provoke. Mar 25, 2025LinkedIn ↗ ### [When Intelligence Joins the Team: Rethinking Work in the Age of AI](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/when-intelligence-joins-team-rethinking-work-age-ai-dinand-tinholt-suzic) There’s a quiet revolution unfolding in how we work. And like many revolutions, it began not with a bang, but a study—one involving 776 professionals at Procter & Gamble and an AI model named GPT-4. Mar 4, 2025LinkedIn ↗ ### [The Coming of AGI: Why Organizations Must Think Big and Act Now](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/coming-agi-why-organizations-must-think-big-act-now-dinand-tinholt-i33zc) Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) is no longer a distant dream. It is accelerating toward us much faster than previously expected. Mar 2, 2025LinkedIn ↗ ### [The Productivity Paradox: Why AI's Promise May Still Be Unrealized in Today's Economy](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/productivity-paradox-why-ais-promise-may-still-todays-dinand-tinholt-hmwcc) In a recent Bloomberg article, "AI Will Upend a Basic Assumption About How Companies Are Organized," ( https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-02-28/how-ai-reasoning-models-will-change-companies-and-the-economy ) a… Feb 25, 2025LinkedIn ↗ ### [The AI Boom is Bigger Than Satya Nadella Thinks—Here’s Why the Economic Impact Will Surpass Expectations](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/ai-boom-bigger-than-satya-nadella-thinksheres-why-economic-tinholt-jr1lc) Satya Nadella, CEO of Microsoft, has struck a cautious tone on the economic impact of artificial intelligence (https://futurism.com/microsoft-ceo-ai-generating-no-value). Feb 11, 2025LinkedIn ↗ ### [OpenAI’s Deep Research: The Next Leap in Work Transformation](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/openais-deep-research-next-leap-work-transformation-dinand-tinholt-rm6cc) Last week, OpenAI launched Deep Research, a new capability that pushes the boundaries of how businesses and professionals interact with knowledge. Jan 23, 2025Medium ### [Symbiotic Intelligence Theory (SIT): Rethinking Human Potential in the Age of AI](https://dinand.com/publications/symbiotic-intelligence-theory/) A framework for thinking about human agency and the ways AI can extend our capacity to think together. Jan 15, 2025LinkedIn ↗ ### [AI Isn’t Just Replacing Jobs - It’s Rewriting Business Rules](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/ai-isnt-just-replacing-jobs-its-rewriting-business-rules-tinholt-pfegc) Imagine being the CEO of a $6.7B company and declaring that your business doesn’t need humans anymore. Dec 11, 2024LinkedIn ↗ ### [The Future of AI: What Ethan Mollick Says Awaits Us in 2025](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/future-ai-what-ethan-mollick-says-awaits-us-2025-dinand-tinholt-oadzc) We’re standing at the edge of a technological revolution, and artificial intelligence (AI) is at its heart. Dec 6, 2024LinkedIn ↗ ### [The Thousand-Day Countdown: Sam Altman’s Provocation and the Dawn of Super-intelligence](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/thousand-day-countdown-sam-altmans-provocation-dawn-dinand-tinholt-t25fc) Yesterday, Sam Altman of OpenAI dropped a subtle but seismic provocation at the DealBook Summit: super-intelligence is coming in a matter of "a few thousand days." That’s a little under a decade. May 18, 2023LinkedIn ↗ ### [Generative: A dance of minds](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/generative-dance-minds-dinand-tinholt) In a study published by Eloundou et al. it is predicted that 80% of the U.S. workforce will have at least 10% of their work affected by #AI . This impact is increasingly impacting white collar jobs - the work of knowledge workers. Jul 28, 2025Medium + LinkedIn ↗ ### [The AI Supermodel Has Arrived. And No, It’s Not the End of Beauty. It’s the Start of a Smarter Industry.](https://medium.com/@tinholt/the-ai-supermodel-has-arrived-4ca6fae231da) Vogue. Long the cathedral of couture and the arbiter of aspirational aesthetics. And now? A bold new guest walks the hallowed pages of its August issue: Seraphinne Vallora’s AI-generated model for a Guess campaign. She’s blonde. Jun 27, 2025LinkedIn ↗ ### [Reimagining the Consumer Products Value Chain with AI](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/reimagining-consumer-products-value-chain-ai-dinand-tinholt-xn5kc) May 12, 2025LinkedIn ↗ ### [When Software Learns the Job Retail Finds Another Gear](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/when-software-learns-job-retail-finds-another-gear-dinand-tinholt-xgfzc) Just imagine a store manager at a grocery chain juggling numerous urgent tasks: a customer wants to know why last night’s curb-side order is late, a district merchandiser is flagging a surprise run on energy drinks downtown, and… Mar 31, 2025LinkedIn ↗ ### [The AI Retail & Consumer Goods Revolution: Five Stages of Transformation](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/ai-retail-consumer-goods-revolution-five-stages-dinand-tinholt-hzcbf) The shop floor at Walmart's newest "store of the future" in Arkansas appears ordinary at first glance. Behind the scenes, however, an invisible intelligence silently orchestrates nearly every aspect of the operation. Mar 10, 2025LinkedIn ↗ ### [Retail’s AI Transformation: A Moment of Reinvention](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/retails-ai-transformation-moment-reinvention-dinand-tinholt-lovnc) On a quiet Tuesday morning in early 2025, a fashion buyer at a global retail brand sat in front of her laptop, scrolling through trend reports, sifting through spreadsheets, and making a judgment call on next season’s colors. Feb 26, 2025LinkedIn ↗ ### [The Unseen Hand: How AI is Quietly Rewriting Retail’s Future](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/unseen-hand-how-ai-quietly-rewriting-retails-future-dinand-tinholt-4phvc) A century ago, department stores revolutionized retail. Fifty years later, shopping malls did it again. Then came e-commerce, reshaping consumer behavior in ways no one could have imagined. Feb 25, 2025LinkedIn ↗ ### [Why Testing AI Like a Smartphone is a Mistake – And What Consumer & Retail Companies Should Do Instead](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/why-testing-ai-like-smartphone-mistake-what-consumer-retail-tinholt-clwec) Imagine you’re evaluating a brand-new smartphone, but instead of exploring its camera, apps, or AI-driven features, you judge it solely by how well it makes phone calls. That would be absurd, right? Feb 20, 2025LinkedIn ↗ ### [Reimagining the Consumer Products & Retail Market with GenAI: Four Futures, Five Years From Now](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/reimagining-consumer-products-retail-market-genai-four-dinand-tinholt-uziyc) Five years from now, the consumer products and retail (CPR) industry will be unrecognizable. Not because of incremental improvements, but because of a seismic shift—one driven by the rise of Generative AI (GenAI) and Agentic AI . Jan 23, 2025LinkedIn ↗ ### [The Quiet Revolution: How GenAI is Reshaping Consumer Products](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/quiet-revolution-how-genai-reshaping-consumer-products-dinand-tinholt-0grgc) The GenAI maturation is happening quietly, behind the scenes, in the world of consumer packaged goods (CPG), retail, and distribution (CPRD). Jan 14, 2025LinkedIn ↗ ### [Key Trends from NRF 2025: Shaping the Future of Retail](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/key-trends-from-nrf-2025-shaping-future-retail-dinand-tinholt-xq3oc) It's a wrap for 2025's NRF Retail Big Show. It's clear that 2025 is set to be a transformative year for the retail industry. Dec 5, 2024LinkedIn ↗ ### [AI ‘Buy With Pro’ Feature: A Game Changer for Retail](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/ai-buy-pro-feature-game-changer-retail-dinand-tinholt-56pic) E-commerce is evolving at breakneck speed, and Perplexity’s innovative ‘Buy With Pro’ feature is leading the charge. Oct 25, 2026LinkedIn ### [Chicago in Five Breaths](https://dinand.com/side-projects/chicago-in-five-breaths/) A 51-second watercolor film of Chicago made with AI, and what an $11.65 video bill changes about exploring a creative idea. Jul 14, 2026Medium ↗ ### [The Truth Ledger](https://medium.com/@tinholt/the-truth-ledger-3e01dac4e8ca) Old Frames, New Machines · An Essay in Nine… Jan 15, 2026Medium ↗ ### [What Novel Do You Want That Doesn’t Exist?](https://medium.com/@tinholt/what-novel-do-you-want-that-doesnt-exist-1f3c6647b27d) Over Christmas, I finished Upgrade by Blake Crouch and hit that familiar wall: the story ends, you want more, but there’s no sequel. Dec 21, 2025Medium ↗ ### [The Future of Intelligence: Insights from Demis Hassabis](https://medium.com/@tinholt/the-future-of-intelligence-insights-from-demis-hassabis-5089d3e59d0a) Oct 23, 2025Medium ↗ ### [When’s the Last Time You Asked, ‘Did You Use PowerPoint?’](https://medium.com/@tinholt/-e7ead1fbc66c) Two days ago, Seth Godin wrote a piece I particularly enjoyed called ‘The Writer’s Room’. Apr 2, 2025LinkedIn ↗ ### [If AI tools were your office colleagues, who would they be?](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/ai-tools-were-your-office-colleagues-who-would-dinand-tinholt-8qacc) Just for fun — and because we all need a breather from the firehose of AI news — here’s how I imagine… Apr 2, 2025LinkedIn ↗ ### [The Day the Machines Fooled Us](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/day-machines-fooled-us-dinand-tinholt-datkc) What GPT-4.5’s Turing Test triumph means for business—and for being… Mar 14, 2025LinkedIn ↗ ### [Pi, AI, and the Limits of Predictability](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/pi-ai-limits-predictability-dinand-tinholt-5hrzc) Today is March 14th—Pi Day, a celebration of the most famous irrational number in history. Pi is a mathematical constant, an unbroken thread that runs through geometry, physics, and even the algorithms that drive AI. Oct 3, 2023LinkedIn ### [The Liminality of Data: A Glimpse Between the Thresholds](https://dinand.com/publications/liminality-of-data/) What the idea of liminality can teach data and AI leaders about working between an established order and one that has not yet taken shape. Unpublished ## From the notebook Working pieces and explorations that live only on this site. 4 min read Working draft ## [The symbiotic enterprise](https://dinand.com/essays/the-symbiotic-enterprise/) How human judgment and machine intelligence can grow more capable together. [Read more ](https://dinand.com/essays/the-symbiotic-enterprise/) 4 min read Working draft ## [The past as a compass](https://dinand.com/essays/the-past-as-a-compass/) Old maps and new technologies invite us to examine the assumptions behind what we see. [Read more ](https://dinand.com/essays/the-past-as-a-compass/) This is an editorial selection. Pieces marked as drafts remain work in progress; published articles link to their original editions. --- Site guide for AI agents: https://dinand.com/llms.txt