# Publications

Source: https://dinand.com/publications/
Author: Dinand Tinholt

> Everything I have published since 2022, sorted by year and theme.

Ideas across time · Publications

# Publications

Everything I have published since 2022, sorted by year and theme.

Everything published

## Every publication, 2022–2026

132 pieces on Capgemini, LinkedIn, Medium and dinand.com. A piece published in more than one place appears once. Filter by theme or jump to a year.

### 202653 articles

Oct 25, 2026LinkedIn

### [Chicago in Five Breaths](https://dinand.com/side-projects/chicago-in-five-breaths/)

A 51-second watercolor film of Chicago made with AI, and what an $11.65 video bill changes about exploring a creative idea.

Ideas & culture

Oct 21, 2026dinand.com

### [Power, with poise](https://dinand.com/publications/power-with-poise/)

A second Maison Agent experiment presents the AI control plane as a fragrance ad, with one gold ring gathering black ribbons and a single sentence beneath it.

The agentic enterprise

Oct 20, 2026Medium + LinkedIn

### [Engineering the Synthetic Organization](https://dinand.com/essays/engineering-the-synthetic-organization/)

Thirteen disciplines of AI engineering in four layers, all reporting to one control plane, and the five trust disciplines that decide whether an agent can be left alone.

The agentic enterprise

Oct 18, 2026Medium + LinkedIn ↗

### [When watching every hour starts to pay](https://medium.com/@tinholt/when-watching-every-hour-starts-to-pay-caea3d7200ab)

A pre-registered simulation held hourly monitoring of an agent fleet and six-hourly inspection to the same nominal reviewer budget, and found the budget at which hourly monitoring starts to catch faults.

Oversight & accountability

Oct 11, 2026dinand.com

### [Who Checks the Agents](https://dinand.com/research/who-checks-the-agents/)

The lab’s work on AI delegation and oversight in one film, with each published number shown beside the limits its campaign states.

Oversight & accountability

Oct 11, 2026Medium + LinkedIn ↗

### [The Judge’s Mirror](https://medium.com/@tinholt/the-judges-mirror-0abe871ade6b)

A preregistered study of how often a model judge agrees with itself on 197 blind case files, and how far down one model family a judge stays usable.

Oversight & accountability

Oct 7, 2026LinkedIn ↗

### [The Open Decision Head: An Executive Briefing](https://www.linkedin.com/feed/update/urn:li:activity:7513629422663434240/)

A retrained open decision head beat both a rule table and the hosted service on 800 fresh cases, after a first version that did not.

The agentic enterprise

Oct 6, 2026dinand.com

### [The Measured Enterprise 2026](https://dinand.com/research/measured-enterprise-2026/)

The lab’s annual report: the Delegation Index, the protocol, seven pre-registered campaigns, the corrections logged and every measured claim, in one document.

Oversight & accountability

Oct 1, 2026Medium ↗

### [A Trial Balance for Agent Omissions](https://medium.com/@tinholt/a-trial-balance-for-agent-omissions-568a41c59aa1)

Agent logs record what happened and have no row for what didn’t. A pre-registered test of commitment accounting, an obligation ledger reconciled against executed calls, for catching omissions in procurement-workflow traces.

Oversight & accountability

Sep 27, 2026LinkedIn ↗

### [Jev is a new model from TypeSafe AI that helps software make small, specific decisions.](https://www.linkedin.com/posts/tinholt_jev-is-a-new-model-from-typesafe-ai-that-share-7510004413076250624-2pCZ/)

Pre-announcement: the benchmark, code and pilot guide follow once the results are verified.

Models & the AI market

Sep 23, 2026dinand.com

### [The Decision Head](https://dinand.com/research/decision-head/)

A self-hosted service that answers a workflow’s typed questions with a calibrated probability. The executive briefing, the full paper and the blog post that started it.

The agentic enterprise

Sep 20, 2026dinand.com

### [Self-healing master data](https://dinand.com/publications/self-healing-master-data/)

An executive brief on finding, proposing and verifying supply-chain data repairs.

Data, context & memory

Sep 20, 2026dinand.com

### [From dashboards to decisions](https://dinand.com/publications/from-dashboards-to-decisions/)

A working paper on bringing business context into an agentic decision workflow.

The agentic enterprise

Sep 17, 2026Medium ↗

### [Sprawl Cost Is Superlinear Under a Fixed Monitoring Budget: A Pre-Registered Calibration of Agent Portfolio Retirement Dynamics](https://medium.com/@tinholt/sprawl-cost-is-superlinear-under-a-fixed-monitoring-budget-a-pre-registered-calibration-of-agent-e24cbaa7e62a)

AGENESIS-2 adds a portfolio layer to the AGENESIS enterprise simulation to measure whether agent sprawl costs more than proportionally under a fixed monitoring budget.

Oversight & accountability

Sep 17, 2026LinkedIn ↗

### [Your AI Review Team May Be Waiting for Failures It Cannot See](https://www.linkedin.com/feed/update/urn:li:activity:7506213115978489856/)

The executive reading of the sprawl-cost result.

Oversight & accountability

Sep 14, 2026dinand.com

### [Where Fleet Diversity Is Worth Paying For](https://dinand.com/research/fleet-diversity/)

What a fleet of identical model copies risks, and where diversity is worth paying for: shared weights correlate errors, coupling barely does.

Oversight & accountability

Sep 11, 2026dinand.com

### [Charter Clauses That Earn Their Place](https://dinand.com/research/charter-clauses/)

Three of six standard charter clauses do the work. The full charter removes 76 to 77% of harm when no correction arrives.

The agentic enterprise

Sep 10, 2026Medium ↗

### [Accountability Makes Oversight Worse: A Pre-Registered Test of Liability-Exposed AI Supervision Across Irreversibility Tiers](https://medium.com/@tinholt/accountability-makes-oversight-worse-a-pre-registered-test-of-liability-exposed-ai-supervision-ef4fdf46bad3)

A pre-registered test of whether making an AI supervisor answerable for past harm improves its oversight, and why it backfired across irreversibility tiers.

Oversight & accountability

Sep 9, 2026LinkedIn

### [Skin in the Game Made the AI Supervisor Worse](https://dinand.com/publications/skin-in-the-game/)

A controlled experiment on the cost of wrongful blocks and the incentives that shape an AI reviewer.

Oversight & accountability

Sep 9, 2026dinand.com

### [What Measuring the Refinement Tax Costs](https://dinand.com/research/refinement-tax-brief/)

An attempt to measure the refinement tax on real hardware stopped itself after two hours and thirty-eight minutes, before any of 150 tasks ran.

Oversight & accountability

Sep 8, 2026dinand.com

### [The Second Opinion Still Holds](https://dinand.com/research/second-opinion-still-holds/)

Buying a second opinion from a different model family still works: a shared training corpus did not make two models share blind spots.

Oversight & accountability

Sep 8, 2026dinand.com

### [The Benchmark You Cannot Build](https://dinand.com/research/benchmark-you-cannot-build/)

Ten days and 3,300 test cases later, a re-run of the SIGIL oversight experiment across five models had not started, because the models made too few mistakes for a reviewer to catch.

Oversight & accountability

Sep 8, 2026dinand.com

### [Harder, or Impossible?](https://dinand.com/research/harder-or-impossible/)

A research programme shut down on a rule written in advance; verification found the test was marking documents wrong that no longer carried an answer.

Oversight & accountability

Sep 5, 2026dinand.com

### [Staff Before You Escalate](https://dinand.com/research/staff-before-you-escalate/)

Routing more work to review only helps if the reviewers grow with it: escalating with headcount fixed scores −0.59, and with staffing scaled +1.15.

Oversight & accountability

Sep 3, 2026Medium ↗

### [Pricing Agent Autonomy](https://medium.com/@tinholt/pricing-agent-autonomy-0a2bb5b97caf)

A simulation sweeping twelve dimensions of organisational design to price the bet that moving work further from human review is cheaper. Delegation depth carries the strongest weight, and it is negative.

Oversight & accountability

Sep 2, 2026Medium ↗

### [When the Second Opinion Shares the Blind Spot](https://medium.com/@tinholt/when-the-second-opinion-shares-the-blind-spot-7e4443dcb081)

One model on two machines, with different quantisation and serving stacks, made the same mistakes. What separates one reviewer from another is the model family: a case for dissimilar redundancy.

Oversight & accountability

Aug 28, 2026Medium ↗

### [A ledger for agentic decisions](https://medium.com/@tinholt/a-ledger-for-the-decisions-nobody-priced-625c452e43fd)

Difficulty is a property of the work; risk is a property of the consequences. Testing, in simulation and as a product, the rule that decides which agentic decisions a person must see.

Oversight & accountability

Aug 27, 2026Medium ↗

### [The Breaking Point](https://medium.com/@tinholt/the-breaking-point-2b68dbd7d7c2)

45,312 simulated supply-network designs, each run through a year of compounding disruption, and the exact stress level at which service breaks.

The agentic enterprise

Aug 16, 2026Medium ↗

### [The Delegation Cliff](https://medium.com/@tinholt/the-delegation-cliff-ed787b1ebe22)

90,880 simulated designs of an AI-delegating organization. At a 95% quality floor they degrade gradually; at 99% the same design space develops a cliff.

Oversight & accountability

Aug 9, 2026Medium ↗

### [AI Agents May Have a Reason to Trust Each Other](https://medium.com/@tinholt/ai-agents-may-have-a-reason-to-trust-each-other-3ba117adc87a)

On a paper led by Alexander Meulemans: why foundation-model agents may cooperate in a one-shot Prisoner’s Dilemma, and what that means for large populations of agents.

The agentic enterprise

Aug 6, 2026Medium ↗

### [Nobody Slows Down First](https://medium.com/@tinholt/nobody-slows-down-first-2edd34ecaf97)

Six days apart, the same industry asked Washington to keep AI capability spreading and to build the machinery for holding it back.

Models & the AI market

Jul 30, 2026Medium ↗

### [The Weights Got Free. The Grip Moved.](https://medium.com/@tinholt/the-weights-got-free-the-grip-moved-fadf3d80fb4e)

Kimi K3 put 2.8 trillion parameters on a public server. Reading that as decentralization gets the economics backwards.

Models & the AI market

Jul 14, 2026Medium ↗

### [The Truth Ledger](https://medium.com/@tinholt/the-truth-ledger-3e01dac4e8ca)

Old Frames, New Machines · An Essay in Nine…

Ideas & culture

Jun 15, 2026Medium

### [Inventory Optimization Under Uncertainty: Broad random shocks trained a tougher inventory planner than a clever AI adversary did](https://dinand.com/publications/inventory-under-uncertainty/)

An inventory-planning experiment explores which kinds of stress prepare a policy for unfamiliar disruptions.

The agentic enterprise

Jun 10, 2026Medium ↗

### [The Most Powerful AI Ever Released Is Probably Being Wasted Right Now](https://medium.com/@tinholt/the-most-powerful-ai-ever-released-is-probably-being-wasted-right-now-67eb38b2ad53)

There is an old Greek storyteller named Aesop (you may remember the tortoise and the hare) whose genius had nothing to do with animals.

Work, economy & the future

May 13, 2026Medium ↗

### [The Vertical AI Playbook Is Here, And Legal Is Just The Latest Move](https://medium.com/@tinholt/the-vertical-ai-playbook-is-here-and-legal-is-just-the-latest-move-65b71e4a7f5f)

A week before Anthropic announced Claude for Legal, it announced Claude for Financial Services.

Models & the AI market

May 10, 2026Medium ↗

### [Three bets on where the agent lives](https://medium.com/@tinholt/three-bets-on-where-the-agent-lives-4c6f1c906383)

In a single quarter, three of the most important enterprise software vendors placed three competing claims on the agent…

Models & the AI market

Apr 29, 2026Capgemini

### [Move 37: How Agentic AI Turns Back-Office Drudgery into Bold Process Breakthroughs](https://dinand.com/publications/move-37/)

Why the larger opportunity in agentic AI is not polishing an inherited workflow, but questioning whether the workflow should exist in its current form.

The agentic enterprise

Apr 11, 2026Medium ↗

### [The AI Infrastructure Layer: Why Runtime Ownership Matters More Than Model Choice](https://medium.com/@tinholt/the-ai-infrastructure-layer-why-runtime-ownership-matters-more-than-model-choice-1edf8e097603)

Enterprise technology teams are debating which AI model to use. GPT or Claude? Gemini or a fine-tuned open source model?

Models & the AI market

Apr 4, 2026Medium ↗

### [What Happens When One Company Adopts AI Before Its Competitors?](https://medium.com/@tinholt/what-happens-when-one-company-adopts-ai-before-its-competitors-cd976e5a8dba)

Results from a 100-run multi-agent enterprise simulation across four…

The agentic enterprise

Mar 31, 2026Medium ↗

### [AI-Driven Inventory Optimization Under Deep Uncertainty](https://medium.com/@tinholt/ai-driven-inventory-optimization-under-deep-uncertainty-607fd80386d1)

An Autoresearch…

The agentic enterprise

Mar 29, 2026Medium ↗

### [The Compounding Gap](https://medium.com/@tinholt/the-compounding-gap-295f2dc6cf08)

Work, economy & the future

Mar 25, 2026Medium ↗

### [Twenty-one releases in under three months.](https://medium.com/@tinholt/twenty-one-releases-in-under-three-months-7de36a1a1cd0)

Since January 2026, Anthropic has shipped two new foundation models (Opus 4.6 and Sonnet 4.6), and nineteen distinct product launches…

Models & the AI market

Mar 13, 2026Medium ↗

### [Your AI Agent’s Brain: Specialized or Well-Briefed?](https://medium.com/@tinholt/your-ai-agents-brain-specialized-or-well-briefed-88ec339c6db4)

What a Controlled Experiment Reveals About Enterprise AI…

The agentic enterprise

Mar 4, 2026Medium ↗

### [Two Reports, One Question: What Does AI Actually Mean for Your Future?](https://medium.com/@tinholt/two-reports-one-question-what-does-ai-actually-mean-for-your-future-9689d6bceec6)

In the span of a few days in late February 2026, two documents landed in the financial and technology discourse with sharply…

Work, economy & the future

Feb 28, 2026Medium + LinkedIn

### [Building a Fake Economy Run by AI Agents to Negotiate Trade Promotions: Lessons from a CPG](https://dinand.com/publications/trade-promotion-agents/)

Manufacturer and retailer agents negotiate promotions inside a simulated market with competing incentives.

The agentic enterprise

Feb 27, 2026Medium ↗

### [10x the Impact of the Industrial Revolution, and We’re Just Getting Started](https://medium.com/@tinholt/10x-the-impact-of-the-industrial-revolution-and-were-just-getting-started-08e90b8e3659)

A year ago, a task that took a full year now takes three days.

Work, economy & the future

Feb 17, 2026Medium ↗

### [Why Industry Is the Only Thing That Separates AI Theater from AI Transformation](https://medium.com/@tinholt/why-industry-is-the-only-thing-that-separates-ai-theater-from-ai-transformation-b1602bff12c5)

I’ll save you the conference ticket and the keynote.

The agentic enterprise

Feb 7, 2026Medium ↗

### [Agent Swarms Are Here](https://medium.com/@tinholt/agent-swarms-are-here-4cea3c59d7fb)

Three major model drops in ten days. Moonshot AI shipped Kimi K2.5 on January 27th with a built-in agent swarm.

Models & the AI market

Feb 5, 2026Medium ↗

### [What Anthropic’s AI Advertising Stand and Legal Plugin Reveal About the Future of Enterprise AI](https://medium.com/@tinholt/what-anthropics-ai-advertising-stand-and-legal-plugin-reveal-about-the-future-of-enterprise-ai-1e97d8a1eb85)

Over the past few days, significant attention has been directed toward Anthropic’s latest announcements, including the release of a…

Models & the AI market

Jan 15, 2026Medium ↗

### [What Novel Do You Want That Doesn’t Exist?](https://medium.com/@tinholt/what-novel-do-you-want-that-doesnt-exist-1f3c6647b27d)

Over Christmas, I finished Upgrade by Blake Crouch and hit that familiar wall: the story ends, you want more, but there’s no sequel.

Ideas & culture

Jan 7, 2026Medium ↗

### [The Right Tool for Each Step](https://medium.com/@tinholt/the-right-tool-for-each-step-fb444a35222e)

When your primary tool is a large language model, every business process starts looking like a conversation to generate.

The agentic enterprise

Jan 6, 2026Medium ↗

### [Agentic AI Needs Cognitive Goals](https://medium.com/@tinholt/agentic-ai-needs-cognitive-goals-021ea96bc787)

The agentic enterprise

### 202569 articles

Dec 30, 2025Medium ↗

### [Why Your AI Sounds Smart but Learns Nothing](https://medium.com/@tinholt/why-your-ai-sounds-smart-but-learns-nothing-20a33aeffb37)

People keep saying AI is getting smarter. Most of the time what they really mean is that it sounds better. It talks more smoothly.

Data, context & memory

Dec 30, 2025Medium ↗

### [From Games to World Models: Why 2026 Will Be the Year AI Learns to Act](https://medium.com/@tinholt/from-games-to-world-models-why-2026-will-be-the-year-ai-learns-to-act-172378528219)

For the past two years, most leaders have experienced AI as a word machine: reading, writing, summarizing, and explaining.

Models & the AI market

Dec 21, 2025Medium ↗

### [The Blueprint Is Showing](https://medium.com/@tinholt/the-blueprint-is-showing-b6b3ec4945b5)

Work, economy & the future

Dec 21, 2025Medium ↗

### [The Future of Intelligence: Insights from Demis Hassabis](https://medium.com/@tinholt/the-future-of-intelligence-insights-from-demis-hassabis-5089d3e59d0a)

Ideas & culture

Dec 17, 2025Medium

### [How to Make AI Agents Accurate: Stop Treating Memory Like Chat History](https://dinand.com/publications/agent-memory-and-state/)

A practical approach to keeping an agent’s constraints and current decisions clear during long sessions.

Data, context & memory

Dec 16, 2025Medium ↗

### [We’ve been talking about major productivity gains from AI agents.](https://medium.com/@tinholt/weve-been-talking-about-major-productivity-gains-from-ai-agents-796b2bd5a18c)

Their internal study of 132 engineers reveals something we need to start accounting for in our business cases: 27% of AI-assisted…

Work, economy & the future

Dec 2, 2025Medium ↗

### [The AI Iceberg Isn’t What You Think, and That’s Exactly](https://medium.com/@tinholt/-d261ec1dc65d)

Work, economy & the future

Nov 22, 2025Medium ↗

### [The Great Disconnect: Why the AI Revolution Is Missing from Economic Data](https://medium.com/@tinholt/the-great-disconnect-why-the-ai-revolution-is-missing-from-economic-data-31187ee30377)

Work, economy & the future

Nov 17, 2025Medium ↗

### [From Language Models to World Models and Why the Conversation Just Got Real](https://medium.com/@tinholt/from-language-models-to-world-models-and-why-the-conversation-just-got-real-3ebab3fd5aca)

A few months ago I wrote a piece titled From Language Models to World Models: Building the AI Operating Layer for Business.

Models & the AI market

Nov 11, 2025Medium ↗

### [Kimi K2 and the Quiet Shift in Enterprise AI](https://medium.com/@tinholt/kimi-k2-and-the-quiet-shift-in-enterprise-ai-a6d143bd45a0)

Kimi K2 may turn out to be one of those quiet turning points that only later becomes obvious.

Models & the AI market

Nov 10, 2025Medium ↗

### [Inside the Carnegie Mellon and Stanford Study: How AI Agents Work 88% Faster but Still Need Humans](https://medium.com/@tinholt/inside-the-carnegie-mellon-and-stanford-study-how-ai-agents-work-88-faster-but-still-need-humans-e1b5cecb470b)

For years, the conversation in boardrooms and tech conferences has revolved around the same big question: will AI replace human workers?

Work, economy & the future

Oct 23, 2025Medium ↗

### [When’s the Last Time You Asked, ‘Did You Use PowerPoint?’](https://medium.com/@tinholt/-e7ead1fbc66c)

Two days ago, Seth Godin wrote a piece I particularly enjoyed called ‘The Writer’s Room’.

Ideas & culture

Oct 12, 2025Medium

### [The Next Frontier of Agentic AI: Context That Learns](https://dinand.com/publications/context-that-learns/)

How feedback from an agent’s work can inform the context it uses on the next task.

Data, context & memory

Sep 25, 2025Medium ↗

### [AI genius on demand?](https://medium.com/@tinholt/ai-genius-on-demand-f5d0125bf291)

I just read the paper ‘Genius on Demand: The Value of Transformative Artificial Intelligence’.

Work, economy & the future

Sep 19, 2025Medium ↗

### [Stop focusing only on prompts.](https://medium.com/@tinholt/-39cbbb81c26c)

Stop focusing only on prompts. Start engineering context.

Data, context & memory

Sep 17, 2025Medium ↗

### [The Next AI Race: Why Smart Beats Big](https://medium.com/@tinholt/-7645a9ca5d4e)

The GPU arms race is ending. The efficiency war has begun.

Models & the AI market

Sep 3, 2025Medium + LinkedIn

### [GPT-5’s Multimodal Breakthrough: How AI Just Crossed the Expert Threshold in Business Reasoning](https://dinand.com/publications/multimodal-business-reasoning/)

A business perspective on research combining visual information with complex written evidence.

Models & the AI market

Sep 1, 2025Medium ↗

### [The Future of AI Isn’t Bigger Models, It’s Smaller](https://medium.com/@tinholt/-b0d9b186767a)

The center of gravity in AI is shifting from brute force generality to right-sized intelligence.

Models & the AI market

Aug 28, 2025Medium ↗

### [Agentic AI: Autonomy Begins in the Unexpected](https://medium.com/@tinholt/agentic-ai-autonomy-begins-in-the-unexpected-380af42e2709)

I was listening to a presentation from my colleague Andreas Sjostrom this morning and a statement he made that stuck with me is that…

The agentic enterprise

Aug 25, 2025Medium ↗

### [Stop Waving Around ‘95% of GenAI Pilots Fail.’ It’s Not the Whole Story.](https://medium.com/@tinholt/stop-waving-around-95-of-genai-pilots-fail-its-not-the-whole-story-dded82cad366)

The MIT ‘State of AI in Business 2025’ report has been making waves with the headline that 95% of GenAI pilots fail.

The agentic enterprise

Aug 14, 2025Medium + LinkedIn ↗

### [Turning Data Exhaust into Business Intelligence: The Hidden Value in Your Enterprise Operations](https://medium.com/@tinholt/turning-data-exhaust-into-business-intelligence-the-hidden-value-in-your-enterprise-operations-e55356df99ca)

In the landscape of enterprise AI, we often get caught up in the sheer volume of data. But the real secret isn’t just having mountains of information. It’s learning to recognize the patterns that live within it.

Data, context & memory

Aug 10, 2025Medium + LinkedIn ↗

### [From Language Models to World Models: Building the AI Operating Layer for Business](https://medium.com/@tinholt/from-language-models-to-world-models-building-the-ai-operating-layer-for-business-c09e9be33236)

Everyone is staring at the same leaderboard again. GPT-5 here, a new benchmark there, another round of debates about who is ahead in model scale. The conversation is familiar and comfortable.

The agentic enterprise

Aug 8, 2025Medium ↗

### [A New Chapter in Enterprise Intelligence: What GPT-5 Signals for Business](https://medium.com/@tinholt/a-new-chapter-in-enterprise-intelligence-what-gpt-5-signals-for-business-8e3ce41f2694)

Models & the AI market

Aug 4, 2025Medium + LinkedIn ↗

### [Are We Cracking the Code of AGI? A Tiny Brain-Inspired AI Just Made a Big Statement](https://medium.com/@tinholt/are-we-cracking-the-code-of-agi-a-tiny-brain-inspired-ai-just-made-a-big-statement-014104535b82)

There’s something happening in AI research that deserves the full attention of business leaders.

Models & the AI market

Aug 2, 2025Medium ↗

### [If your AI strategy still starts with a dashboard](https://medium.com/@tinholt/-ac5303feb062)

Data, context & memory

Aug 1, 2025Medium + LinkedIn ↗

### [The Great Untangling: Why Business Leaders Must Move From Agentic Mush to an Agentic Mesh](https://medium.com/@tinholt/the-great-untangling-why-business-leaders-must-move-from-agentic-mush-to-an-agentic-mesh-692602f95a86)

Across boardrooms and executive strategy sessions, one phrase keeps surfacing: “We need to do something with Agentic AI.” So the sprint begins. Teams deploy chatbots. Product leads automate decisions.

The agentic enterprise

Jul 28, 2025Medium + LinkedIn ↗

### [The AI Supermodel Has Arrived. And No, It’s Not the End of Beauty. It’s the Start of a Smarter Industry.](https://medium.com/@tinholt/the-ai-supermodel-has-arrived-4ca6fae231da)

Vogue. Long the cathedral of couture and the arbiter of aspirational aesthetics. And now? A bold new guest walks the hallowed pages of its August issue: Seraphinne Vallora’s AI-generated model for a Guess campaign. She’s blonde.

Retail & consumer goods

Jul 25, 2025Medium + LinkedIn ↗

### [You Don’t Have an Agent Problem. You Have an Observability Problem.](https://medium.com/@tinholt/you-dont-have-an-agent-problem-you-have-an-observability-problem-2d2b2d2e42cc)

Agentic AI is becoming the next big promise in enterprise automation. These systems go beyond answering questions. They take actions, chain tasks, call APIs, interact with memory, and adapt over time. They are not static copilots.

The agentic enterprise

Jul 21, 2025Medium + LinkedIn ↗

### [The Myth of the Single Source of Truth](https://medium.com/@tinholt/the-myth-of-the-single-source-of-truth-1ad4d8625215)

Companies have spent years chasing a single source of truth. The idea is simple. One clean, standardized, central repository. Everyone uses the same data to make better decisions.

Data, context & memory

Jul 14, 2025Medium + LinkedIn ↗

### [From Centaur to Enterprise: How AI is Learning to Think Like Us (and What That Means for Business)](https://medium.com/@tinholt/from-centaur-to-enterprise-how-ai-is-learning-to-think-like-us-and-what-that-means-for-business-86113c4378cf)

In the TV series Westworld, a system called Rehoboam shaped the future by predicting human behavior with near-perfect accuracy. Fiction, of course—until it isn’t.

The agentic enterprise

Jun 28, 2025LinkedIn ↗

### [You Can’t Automate Dysfunction](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/you-cant-automate-dysfunction-dinand-tinholt-ys6yc)

The agentic AI hype machine is running full speed. Everywhere I look, someone is wiring an LLM into a brittle business process and expecting magic. Startups are doing it. Enterprises are doing it. Everyone is nodding along.

The agentic enterprise

Jun 27, 2025LinkedIn ↗

### [The Real Failure Isn’t Agentic AI — It’s Corporate Imagination](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/real-failure-isnt-agentic-ai-its-corporate-dinand-tinholt-s7e5c)

From the moment Gartner’s June 25 report landed, proclaiming that over 40 percent of agentic AI initiatives will be abandoned by 2027, journalists seized on the alarm: “rising costs,” “unclear business value,” and worries about…

The agentic enterprise

Jun 27, 2025LinkedIn ↗

### [Reimagining the Consumer Products Value Chain with AI](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/reimagining-consumer-products-value-chain-ai-dinand-tinholt-xn5kc)

Retail & consumer goods

Jun 26, 2025LinkedIn ↗

### [Context Engineering Will Decide the Winners in AI](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/context-engineering-decide-winners-ai-dinand-tinholt-dfame)

The conversation around AI inside most companies is still stuck on prompt engineering — crafting clever questions to get clever answers. But the real work of building effective AI systems isn’t about witty phrasing.

Data, context & memory

Jun 2, 2025LinkedIn

### [The AI Capability Overhang: Why the Most Powerful Technology Isn't Working (yet)](https://dinand.com/publications/ai-capability-overhang/)

Why organizations need to develop the operating capacity to use the AI capabilities already available.

The agentic enterprise

May 27, 2025LinkedIn ↗

### [The Real AI Race Is Happening in Your Business](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/real-ai-race-happening-your-business-dinand-tinholt-5wv4c)

While superpowers debate the future of intelligence, smart companies are deploying it…

The agentic enterprise

May 22, 2025LinkedIn ↗

### [Enterprise Models: The Rise of the Thinking Organization](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/enterprise-models-rise-thinking-dinand-tinholt-7evdc)

This spring, a new artificial intelligence model quietly edged out some of the world’s best climate prediction systems.

The agentic enterprise

May 16, 2025LinkedIn ↗

### [When Companies Begin to Think as Cognitive Enterprises](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/when-companies-begin-think-cognitive-enterprises-dinand-tinholt-q0wac)

In late winter, a global logistics firm noticed something odd in its real-time dashboards.

The agentic enterprise

May 13, 2025LinkedIn ↗

### [AI Agents on Autopilot: A Business Wake-Up Call](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/ai-agents-autopilot-business-wake-up-call-dinand-tinholt-jwgpc)

For years, artificial intelligence has quietly shadowed the world of work. It assisted, suggested, and supported — playing the role of co-pilot. But something is changing.

The agentic enterprise

May 12, 2025LinkedIn ↗

### [When Software Learns the Job Retail Finds Another Gear](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/when-software-learns-job-retail-finds-another-gear-dinand-tinholt-xgfzc)

Just imagine a store manager at a grocery chain juggling numerous urgent tasks: a customer wants to know why last night’s curb-side order is late, a district merchandiser is flagging a surprise run on energy drinks downtown, and…

Retail & consumer goods

May 7, 2025LinkedIn ↗

### [Why Tariffs Are a Data & AI Problem—And How Capgemini Is Solving It](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/why-tariffs-data-ai-problemand-how-capgemini-solving-dinand-tinholt-cnysc)

In a year where AI seems to be injected into every boardroom conversation, one of the most impactful applications is happening at the border.

The agentic enterprise

May 5, 2025LinkedIn ↗

### [What the AI Model Market Quietly Reveals About How to Build with It](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/what-ai-model-market-quietly-reveals-how-build-dinand-tinholt-cbqvc)

The conversation around AI models often focuses on performance. Speed. Accuracy. Cost. And while those factors matter, they don’t explain the full picture of how businesses are actually using large language models.

Models & the AI market

Apr 29, 2025LinkedIn ↗

### [Beyond Generative: The Rise of the Simulated, Self-Learning Enterprise](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/beyond-generative-rise-simulated-self-learning-dinand-tinholt-zvcdf)

We are entering a profound shift — one that goes far beyond new technology. Generative AI lit the first spark, but what comes next will redefine how we understand intelligence itself.

The agentic enterprise

Apr 26, 2025LinkedIn ↗

### [Rethinking Intelligence: Thriving in a World Where AI Outgrows Us](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/rethinking-intelligence-thriving-world-where-ai-outgrows-tinholt-o5hic)

In a recent conversation that captured the attention of the technology world, Eric Schmidt, the former CEO of Google, shared a stark prediction: within the next year, the majority of programmers could be replaced by AI.

Work, economy & the future

Apr 22, 2025LinkedIn ↗

### [From Prediction to Purpose: The Era of Experiential Intelligence](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/from-prediction-purpose-era-experiential-intelligence-dinand-tinholt-hl11c)

How World Models and Reinforcement Learning Are Reshaping Business…

The agentic enterprise

Apr 20, 2025LinkedIn ↗

### [The Rise of the Self-Reflexive Enterprise: Why the Next Wave of AI Isn’t About Doing More — But About Seeing Better](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/rise-self-reflexive-enterprise-why-next-wave-ai-isnt-doing-tinholt-wgk8c)

On an average everyday morning, a thousand things are happening inside a multinational company. A frustrated engineer is rewriting the same process that’s already been documented elsewhere.

The agentic enterprise

Apr 16, 2025LinkedIn ↗

### [The New Competitive Edge: Open-Weight AI Models and Their Impact on Businesses](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/new-competitive-edge-open-weight-ai-models-impact-dinand-tinholt-pa8xc)

The AI landscape is undergoing a seismic shift. In just the past month, OpenAI and other major players have signaled a new era—one where the power and potential of open-weight large language models (LLMs) are reshaping the…

Models & the AI market

Apr 8, 2025LinkedIn ↗

### [The Accelerating Reality of Artificial General Intelligence: Strategic Imperatives for Business Leaders](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/accelerating-reality-artificial-general-intelligence-business-dinand-8bmgc)

Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), once confined to theoretical discussions and science fiction, is rapidly approaching practical realization.

Work, economy & the future

Apr 4, 2025LinkedIn ↗

### [A New Solution for Trade Wars: How Enterprises Can Regain Control with Strategic AI](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/new-solution-trade-wars-how-enterprises-can-regain-control-tinholt-fpljc)

As global trade becomes increasingly unpredictable, executives are finding themselves caught in a crossfire of shifting tariffs, regional restrictions, and disrupted supply chains.

The agentic enterprise

Apr 2, 2025LinkedIn ↗

### [If AI tools were your office colleagues, who would they be?](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/ai-tools-were-your-office-colleagues-who-would-dinand-tinholt-8qacc)

Just for fun — and because we all need a breather from the firehose of AI news — here’s how I imagine…

Ideas & culture

Apr 2, 2025LinkedIn ↗

### [The Day the Machines Fooled Us](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/day-machines-fooled-us-dinand-tinholt-datkc)

What GPT-4.5’s Turing Test triumph means for business—and for being…

Ideas & culture

Mar 31, 2025LinkedIn ↗

### [The AI Retail & Consumer Goods Revolution: Five Stages of Transformation](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/ai-retail-consumer-goods-revolution-five-stages-dinand-tinholt-hzcbf)

The shop floor at Walmart's newest "store of the future" in Arkansas appears ordinary at first glance. Behind the scenes, however, an invisible intelligence silently orchestrates nearly every aspect of the operation.

Retail & consumer goods

Mar 31, 2025LinkedIn ↗

### [AI Doesn’t Want Your Job. It Wants Your Judgment.](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/ai-doesnt-want-your-job-wants-judgment-dinand-tinholt-jgmic)

When earlier this week Bill Gates predicted that artificial intelligence would replace doctors and teachers within the next decade, it sounded hyperbolic—like a headline designed to provoke.

Work, economy & the future

Mar 25, 2025LinkedIn ↗

### [When Intelligence Joins the Team: Rethinking Work in the Age of AI](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/when-intelligence-joins-team-rethinking-work-age-ai-dinand-tinholt-suzic)

There’s a quiet revolution unfolding in how we work. And like many revolutions, it began not with a bang, but a study—one involving 776 professionals at Procter & Gamble and an AI model named GPT-4.

Work, economy & the future

Mar 19, 2025LinkedIn ↗

### [The Rise of Small Giants: How Tiny AI Models and Massive Chips Are Reshaping Business](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/rise-small-giants-how-tiny-ai-models-massive-chips-business-tinholt-oxysc)

The story of artificial intelligence has long been about scale—bigger models, more parameters, and an insatiable demand for computing power.

Models & the AI market

Mar 16, 2025LinkedIn ↗

### [Antifragile — The Algorithm That Ate Uncertainty: How AI is Reinventing Supply Chain Resilience](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/antifragile-algorithm-ate-uncertainty-how-ai-supply-chain-tinholt-ydfhc)

In March 2021, as the Ever Given — a container ship longer than the Empire State Building is tall — lodged itself into the banks of the Suez Canal, a chilling realization rippled through global markets: modern supply chains are…

The agentic enterprise

Mar 14, 2025LinkedIn ↗

### [Pi, AI, and the Limits of Predictability](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/pi-ai-limits-predictability-dinand-tinholt-5hrzc)

Today is March 14th—Pi Day, a celebration of the most famous irrational number in history. Pi is a mathematical constant, an unbroken thread that runs through geometry, physics, and even the algorithms that drive AI.

Ideas & culture

Mar 10, 2025LinkedIn ↗

### [Retail’s AI Transformation: A Moment of Reinvention](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/retails-ai-transformation-moment-reinvention-dinand-tinholt-lovnc)

On a quiet Tuesday morning in early 2025, a fashion buyer at a global retail brand sat in front of her laptop, scrolling through trend reports, sifting through spreadsheets, and making a judgment call on next season’s colors.

Retail & consumer goods

Mar 4, 2025LinkedIn ↗

### [The Coming of AGI: Why Organizations Must Think Big and Act Now](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/coming-agi-why-organizations-must-think-big-act-now-dinand-tinholt-i33zc)

Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) is no longer a distant dream. It is accelerating toward us much faster than previously expected.

Work, economy & the future

Mar 2, 2025LinkedIn ↗

### [The Productivity Paradox: Why AI's Promise May Still Be Unrealized in Today's Economy](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/productivity-paradox-why-ais-promise-may-still-todays-dinand-tinholt-hmwcc)

In a recent Bloomberg article, "AI Will Upend a Basic Assumption About How Companies Are Organized," ( https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-02-28/how-ai-reasoning-models-will-change-companies-and-the-economy ) a…

Work, economy & the future

Feb 26, 2025LinkedIn ↗

### [The Unseen Hand: How AI is Quietly Rewriting Retail’s Future](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/unseen-hand-how-ai-quietly-rewriting-retails-future-dinand-tinholt-4phvc)

A century ago, department stores revolutionized retail. Fifty years later, shopping malls did it again. Then came e-commerce, reshaping consumer behavior in ways no one could have imagined.

Retail & consumer goods

Feb 25, 2025LinkedIn ↗

### [Why Testing AI Like a Smartphone is a Mistake – And What Consumer & Retail Companies Should Do Instead](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/why-testing-ai-like-smartphone-mistake-what-consumer-retail-tinholt-clwec)

Imagine you’re evaluating a brand-new smartphone, but instead of exploring its camera, apps, or AI-driven features, you judge it solely by how well it makes phone calls. That would be absurd, right?

Retail & consumer goods

Feb 25, 2025LinkedIn ↗

### [The AI Boom is Bigger Than Satya Nadella Thinks—Here’s Why the Economic Impact Will Surpass Expectations](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/ai-boom-bigger-than-satya-nadella-thinksheres-why-economic-tinholt-jr1lc)

Satya Nadella, CEO of Microsoft, has struck a cautious tone on the economic impact of artificial intelligence (https://futurism.com/microsoft-ceo-ai-generating-no-value).

Work, economy & the future

Feb 20, 2025LinkedIn ↗

### [Reimagining the Consumer Products & Retail Market with GenAI: Four Futures, Five Years From Now](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/reimagining-consumer-products-retail-market-genai-four-dinand-tinholt-uziyc)

Five years from now, the consumer products and retail (CPR) industry will be unrecognizable. Not because of incremental improvements, but because of a seismic shift—one driven by the rise of Generative AI (GenAI) and Agentic AI .

Retail & consumer goods

Feb 11, 2025LinkedIn ↗

### [OpenAI’s Deep Research: The Next Leap in Work Transformation](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/openais-deep-research-next-leap-work-transformation-dinand-tinholt-rm6cc)

Last week, OpenAI launched Deep Research, a new capability that pushes the boundaries of how businesses and professionals interact with knowledge.

Work, economy & the future

Jan 23, 2025LinkedIn ↗

### [The Quiet Revolution: How GenAI is Reshaping Consumer Products](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/quiet-revolution-how-genai-reshaping-consumer-products-dinand-tinholt-0grgc)

The GenAI maturation is happening quietly, behind the scenes, in the world of consumer packaged goods (CPG), retail, and distribution (CPRD).

Retail & consumer goods

Jan 23, 2025Medium

### [Symbiotic Intelligence Theory (SIT): Rethinking Human Potential in the Age of AI](https://dinand.com/publications/symbiotic-intelligence-theory/)

A framework for thinking about human agency and the ways AI can extend our capacity to think together.

Work, economy & the future

Jan 15, 2025LinkedIn ↗

### [AI Isn’t Just Replacing Jobs - It’s Rewriting Business Rules](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/ai-isnt-just-replacing-jobs-its-rewriting-business-rules-tinholt-pfegc)

Imagine being the CEO of a $6.7B company and declaring that your business doesn’t need humans anymore.

Work, economy & the future

Jan 14, 2025LinkedIn ↗

### [Key Trends from NRF 2025: Shaping the Future of Retail](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/key-trends-from-nrf-2025-shaping-future-retail-dinand-tinholt-xq3oc)

It's a wrap for 2025's NRF Retail Big Show. It's clear that 2025 is set to be a transformative year for the retail industry.

Retail & consumer goods

### 20246 articles

Dec 11, 2024LinkedIn ↗

### [The Future of AI: What Ethan Mollick Says Awaits Us in 2025](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/future-ai-what-ethan-mollick-says-awaits-us-2025-dinand-tinholt-oadzc)

We’re standing at the edge of a technological revolution, and artificial intelligence (AI) is at its heart.

Work, economy & the future

Dec 6, 2024LinkedIn ↗

### [The Thousand-Day Countdown: Sam Altman’s Provocation and the Dawn of Super-intelligence](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/thousand-day-countdown-sam-altmans-provocation-dawn-dinand-tinholt-t25fc)

Yesterday, Sam Altman of OpenAI dropped a subtle but seismic provocation at the DealBook Summit: super-intelligence is coming in a matter of "a few thousand days." That’s a little under a decade.

Work, economy & the future

Dec 5, 2024LinkedIn ↗

### [OpenAI's ChatGPT Pro: Revolutionizing Business or Just Hype?](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/openais-chatgpt-pro-revolutionizing-business-just-hype-dinand-tinholt-yagvc)

OpenAI has launched ChatGPT Pro, a $200 per month enterprise-grade AI service. This move raises questions about the future of work, the accessibility of advanced AI, and OpenAI's strategic direction.

Models & the AI market

Dec 5, 2024LinkedIn ↗

### [AI ‘Buy With Pro’ Feature: A Game Changer for Retail](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/ai-buy-pro-feature-game-changer-retail-dinand-tinholt-56pic)

E-commerce is evolving at breakneck speed, and Perplexity’s innovative ‘Buy With Pro’ feature is leading the charge.

Retail & consumer goods

Nov 1, 2024LinkedIn

### [From Chaos to Managed Complexity: Adopting an Ecosystem Mindset in Data & Analytics](https://dinand.com/publications/from-chaos-to-managed-complexity/)

A case for treating modern data environments as evolving ecosystems rather than trying to force every source and decision into one rigid center.

Data, context & memory

Aug 28, 2024LinkedIn ↗

### [Decentralized Data Governance and Data Virtualization: Revolutionizing the Speed of Analytics](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/decentralized-data-governance-virtualization-speed-dinand-tinholt-x8d8c)

In the ever-evolving landscape of digital innovation, a quiet transformation is underway, one that could significantly alter the way businesses and organizations handle their most valuable asset: data.

Data, context & memory

### 20233 articles

Oct 3, 2023LinkedIn

### [The Liminality of Data: A Glimpse Between the Thresholds](https://dinand.com/publications/liminality-of-data/)

What the idea of liminality can teach data and AI leaders about working between an established order and one that has not yet taken shape.

Ideas & culture

May 18, 2023LinkedIn ↗

### [Generative: A dance of minds](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/generative-dance-minds-dinand-tinholt)

In a study published by Eloundou et al. it is predicted that 80% of the U.S. workforce will have at least 10% of their work affected by #AI . This impact is increasingly impacting white collar jobs - the work of knowledge workers.

Work, economy & the future

May 15, 2023LinkedIn ↗

### [Everyone's invited to the data party](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/everyones-invited-data-party-dinand-tinholt)

The world of data has long been confined to the dominion of data scientists, data engineers and IT experts, nestled snugly in their ivory towers of coding prowess and analytical acumen.

Data, context & memory

### 20221 article

Jan 21, 2022LinkedIn

### [Creating a data-powered culture](https://dinand.com/publications/creating-a-data-powered-culture/)

A durable starting point for making data part of everyday decisions: connect technology, shared habits and organizational confidence.

Data, context & memory

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