Ideas across time · Publications

Publications

Everything I have published since 2022, sorted by year and theme.

Everything published

Every publication, 2022–2026

132 pieces on Capgemini, LinkedIn, Medium and dinand.com. A piece published in more than one place appears once. Filter by theme or jump to a year.

202653 articles

LinkedIn

Chicago in Five Breaths

A 51-second watercolor film of Chicago made with AI, and what an $11.65 video bill changes about exploring a creative idea.

Ideas & culture

dinand.com

Power, with poise

A second Maison Agent experiment presents the AI control plane as a fragrance ad, with one gold ring gathering black ribbons and a single sentence beneath it.

The agentic enterprise

Medium + LinkedIn

Engineering the Synthetic Organization

Thirteen disciplines of AI engineering in four layers, all reporting to one control plane, and the five trust disciplines that decide whether an agent can be left alone.

The agentic enterprise

Medium + LinkedIn ↗

When watching every hour starts to pay

A pre-registered simulation held hourly monitoring of an agent fleet and six-hourly inspection to the same nominal reviewer budget, and found the budget at which hourly monitoring starts to catch faults.

Oversight & accountability

dinand.com

Who Checks the Agents

The lab’s work on AI delegation and oversight in one film, with each published number shown beside the limits its campaign states.

Oversight & accountability

Medium + LinkedIn ↗

The Judge’s Mirror

A preregistered study of how often a model judge agrees with itself on 197 blind case files, and how far down one model family a judge stays usable.

Oversight & accountability

LinkedIn ↗

The Open Decision Head: An Executive Briefing

A retrained open decision head beat both a rule table and the hosted service on 800 fresh cases, after a first version that did not.

The agentic enterprise

dinand.com

The Measured Enterprise 2026

The lab’s annual report: the Delegation Index, the protocol, seven pre-registered campaigns, the corrections logged and every measured claim, in one document.

Oversight & accountability

Medium ↗

A Trial Balance for Agent Omissions

Agent logs record what happened and have no row for what didn’t. A pre-registered test of commitment accounting, an obligation ledger reconciled against executed calls, for catching omissions in procurement-workflow traces.

Oversight & accountability

dinand.com

The Decision Head

A self-hosted service that answers a workflow’s typed questions with a calibrated probability. The executive briefing, the full paper and the blog post that started it.

The agentic enterprise

dinand.com

Self-healing master data

An executive brief on finding, proposing and verifying supply-chain data repairs.

Data, context & memory

dinand.com

From dashboards to decisions

A working paper on bringing business context into an agentic decision workflow.

The agentic enterprise

dinand.com

Where Fleet Diversity Is Worth Paying For

What a fleet of identical model copies risks, and where diversity is worth paying for: shared weights correlate errors, coupling barely does.

Oversight & accountability

dinand.com

Charter Clauses That Earn Their Place

Three of six standard charter clauses do the work. The full charter removes 76 to 77% of harm when no correction arrives.

The agentic enterprise

dinand.com

What Measuring the Refinement Tax Costs

An attempt to measure the refinement tax on real hardware stopped itself after two hours and thirty-eight minutes, before any of 150 tasks ran.

Oversight & accountability

dinand.com

The Second Opinion Still Holds

Buying a second opinion from a different model family still works: a shared training corpus did not make two models share blind spots.

Oversight & accountability

dinand.com

The Benchmark You Cannot Build

Ten days and 3,300 test cases later, a re-run of the SIGIL oversight experiment across five models had not started, because the models made too few mistakes for a reviewer to catch.

Oversight & accountability

dinand.com

Harder, or Impossible?

A research programme shut down on a rule written in advance; verification found the test was marking documents wrong that no longer carried an answer.

Oversight & accountability

dinand.com

Staff Before You Escalate

Routing more work to review only helps if the reviewers grow with it: escalating with headcount fixed scores −0.59, and with staffing scaled +1.15.

Oversight & accountability

Medium ↗

Pricing Agent Autonomy

A simulation sweeping twelve dimensions of organisational design to price the bet that moving work further from human review is cheaper. Delegation depth carries the strongest weight, and it is negative.

Oversight & accountability

Medium ↗

When the Second Opinion Shares the Blind Spot

One model on two machines, with different quantisation and serving stacks, made the same mistakes. What separates one reviewer from another is the model family: a case for dissimilar redundancy.

Oversight & accountability

Medium ↗

A ledger for agentic decisions

Difficulty is a property of the work; risk is a property of the consequences. Testing, in simulation and as a product, the rule that decides which agentic decisions a person must see.

Oversight & accountability

Medium ↗

The Breaking Point

45,312 simulated supply-network designs, each run through a year of compounding disruption, and the exact stress level at which service breaks.

The agentic enterprise

Medium ↗

The Delegation Cliff

90,880 simulated designs of an AI-delegating organization. At a 95% quality floor they degrade gradually; at 99% the same design space develops a cliff.

Oversight & accountability

Medium ↗

AI Agents May Have a Reason to Trust Each Other

On a paper led by Alexander Meulemans: why foundation-model agents may cooperate in a one-shot Prisoner’s Dilemma, and what that means for large populations of agents.

The agentic enterprise

Medium ↗

Nobody Slows Down First

Six days apart, the same industry asked Washington to keep AI capability spreading and to build the machinery for holding it back.

Models & the AI market

Medium ↗

The Weights Got Free. The Grip Moved.

Kimi K3 put 2.8 trillion parameters on a public server. Reading that as decentralization gets the economics backwards.

Models & the AI market

Medium ↗

The Truth Ledger

Old Frames, New Machines · An Essay in Nine…

Ideas & culture

Medium ↗

Three bets on where the agent lives

In a single quarter, three of the most important enterprise software vendors placed three competing claims on the agent…

Models & the AI market

Medium ↗

The Compounding Gap

Work, economy & the future

Medium ↗

Twenty-one releases in under three months.

Since January 2026, Anthropic has shipped two new foundation models (Opus 4.6 and Sonnet 4.6), and nineteen distinct product launches…

Models & the AI market

Medium ↗

Agent Swarms Are Here

Three major model drops in ten days. Moonshot AI shipped Kimi K2.5 on January 27th with a built-in agent swarm.

Models & the AI market

Medium ↗

What Novel Do You Want That Doesn’t Exist?

Over Christmas, I finished Upgrade by Blake Crouch and hit that familiar wall: the story ends, you want more, but there’s no sequel.

Ideas & culture

Medium ↗

The Right Tool for Each Step

When your primary tool is a large language model, every business process starts looking like a conversation to generate.

The agentic enterprise

202569 articles

Medium ↗

Why Your AI Sounds Smart but Learns Nothing

People keep saying AI is getting smarter. Most of the time what they really mean is that it sounds better. It talks more smoothly.

Data, context & memory

Medium ↗

AI genius on demand?

I just read the paper ‘Genius on Demand: The Value of Transformative Artificial Intelligence’.

Work, economy & the future

Medium ↗

Stop focusing only on prompts.

Stop focusing only on prompts. Start engineering context.

Data, context & memory

Medium ↗

Agentic AI: Autonomy Begins in the Unexpected

I was listening to a presentation from my colleague Andreas Sjostrom this morning and a statement he made that stuck with me is that…

The agentic enterprise

Medium + LinkedIn ↗

You Don’t Have an Agent Problem. You Have an Observability Problem.

Agentic AI is becoming the next big promise in enterprise automation. These systems go beyond answering questions. They take actions, chain tasks, call APIs, interact with memory, and adapt over time. They are not static copilots.

The agentic enterprise

Medium + LinkedIn ↗

The Myth of the Single Source of Truth

Companies have spent years chasing a single source of truth. The idea is simple. One clean, standardized, central repository. Everyone uses the same data to make better decisions.

Data, context & memory

LinkedIn ↗

You Can’t Automate Dysfunction

The agentic AI hype machine is running full speed. Everywhere I look, someone is wiring an LLM into a brittle business process and expecting magic. Startups are doing it. Enterprises are doing it. Everyone is nodding along.

The agentic enterprise

LinkedIn ↗

The Real Failure Isn’t Agentic AI — It’s Corporate Imagination

From the moment Gartner’s June 25 report landed, proclaiming that over 40 percent of agentic AI initiatives will be abandoned by 2027, journalists seized on the alarm: “rising costs,” “unclear business value,” and worries about…

The agentic enterprise

LinkedIn ↗

Context Engineering Will Decide the Winners in AI

The conversation around AI inside most companies is still stuck on prompt engineering — crafting clever questions to get clever answers. But the real work of building effective AI systems isn’t about witty phrasing.

Data, context & memory

LinkedIn ↗

AI Agents on Autopilot: A Business Wake-Up Call

For years, artificial intelligence has quietly shadowed the world of work. It assisted, suggested, and supported — playing the role of co-pilot. But something is changing.

The agentic enterprise

LinkedIn ↗

When Software Learns the Job Retail Finds Another Gear

Just imagine a store manager at a grocery chain juggling numerous urgent tasks: a customer wants to know why last night’s curb-side order is late, a district merchandiser is flagging a surprise run on energy drinks downtown, and…

Retail & consumer goods

LinkedIn ↗

Rethinking Intelligence: Thriving in a World Where AI Outgrows Us

In a recent conversation that captured the attention of the technology world, Eric Schmidt, the former CEO of Google, shared a stark prediction: within the next year, the majority of programmers could be replaced by AI.

Work, economy & the future

LinkedIn ↗

AI Doesn’t Want Your Job. It Wants Your Judgment.

When earlier this week Bill Gates predicted that artificial intelligence would replace doctors and teachers within the next decade, it sounded hyperbolic—like a headline designed to provoke.

Work, economy & the future

LinkedIn ↗

Pi, AI, and the Limits of Predictability

Today is March 14th—Pi Day, a celebration of the most famous irrational number in history. Pi is a mathematical constant, an unbroken thread that runs through geometry, physics, and even the algorithms that drive AI.

Ideas & culture

LinkedIn ↗

Retail’s AI Transformation: A Moment of Reinvention

On a quiet Tuesday morning in early 2025, a fashion buyer at a global retail brand sat in front of her laptop, scrolling through trend reports, sifting through spreadsheets, and making a judgment call on next season’s colors.

Retail & consumer goods

20246 articles

LinkedIn ↗

OpenAI's ChatGPT Pro: Revolutionizing Business or Just Hype?

OpenAI has launched ChatGPT Pro, a $200 per month enterprise-grade AI service. This move raises questions about the future of work, the accessibility of advanced AI, and OpenAI's strategic direction.

Models & the AI market

20233 articles

LinkedIn ↗

Generative: A dance of minds

In a study published by Eloundou et al. it is predicted that 80% of the U.S. workforce will have at least 10% of their work affected by #AI . This impact is increasingly impacting white collar jobs - the work of knowledge workers.

Work, economy & the future

LinkedIn ↗

Everyone's invited to the data party

The world of data has long been confined to the dominion of data scientists, data engineers and IT experts, nestled snugly in their ivory towers of coding prowess and analytical acumen.

Data, context & memory

20221 article

LinkedIn

Creating a data-powered culture

A durable starting point for making data part of everyday decisions: connect technology, shared habits and organizational confidence.

Data, context & memory

“Better questions lead to better worlds.”Dinand Tinholt

Follow your curiosity.

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